The International Earthquake and Volcano Prediction Center (IEVPC) released its prediction for a major earthquake, centered between the Philippines and northern Indonesia in the Molucca Sea.
The quake is expected to produce a M8.0+ event with possible tsunami. The time frame for this quake to strike is from now until December 2014 and is detailed in the associated warning notice posted at the IEVPC web site (www.ievpc.org).
Analysis of the precursor signals from its proprietary system for quake detection has allowed the IEVPC to issue this important warning to the nations affected with substantial advance preparation time. This warning comes after the IEVPC has recently completed its highly successful test program during which it had correctly predicted three important earthquake events with a high degree of accuracy.
According to Director of Research, Dr. Dong Choi, “This new alert specifies the epicenter will be in the vicinity of the Talaud and Sangihe islands. All island nations in the region are however, under substantial risk since we have also forecast an associated tsunami. Many cities, towns, and villages in this area are located directly on the coastal areas throughout this region of steep-sided islands. Thus, people may be subjected to devastating waves hitting the shore lines if the predicted earthquake unfolds as we believe it might. Further, the area is already experiencing much increased volcanic activity and a major eruption cannot be ruled out, adding to the difficulties people in this area will experience.”
IEVPC CEO Mr. John L. Casey adds to this announcement with, “Now that we have demonstrated through our just concluded test program that major earthquakes can be predicted well in advance, we will be doing whatever we can to alert the nations in the threatened area so they can begin to prepare.”
Major Earthquake Predicted for Philippines and Indonesia
Press Release 01-01-07-13 | Monday, January 7, 2013 | 9:00 AM
CGE Description : Earthquake with a magnitude of M8.0 + and possible tsunami
Warning Stage : Stage 3 : A major earthquake and possible tsunami may strike between now and the end of December 2014. Immediate preparations should be taken.
Location : Molucca Sea; south of the Philippines
Epicenter Coordinates : 4? 21’N, 126? 26′ E in the vicinity of the islands of Talaud and Sangihe.
Depth : 20-30 km
This predicted earthquake may cause widespread property damage and loss of life throughout the Molucca Sea and Celebes Sea regions where an estimated 2 million plus inhabitants live at or near threatened areas.
Those nations at highest risk include those that border the Molucca Sea and are otherwise at risk from the expected tsunami. These are the entire north Indonesian islands, the Philippines, Borneo, Brunei, New Guinea, and west Pacific islands.
Increased volcanic activity is also expected and may produce added risks to residents of northern Indonesia and adjacent nations. Major eruptions producing dangerous situations for personnel on Molucca Sea islands are possible alongwith substantial atmospheric pollution and attendant aviation risks.
All nations and personnel in these regions of the predicted epicenter should begin preparations for evacuation of coastal areas on a short notice basis.
Contingency planning on a national and regional basis needs to be taken to provide post event emergency services.
The IEVPC may provide other higher stage warnings for this predicted catastrophic geophysical event (CGE) if requested by host nations and after deployment of in-country earthquake monitoring teams.
International Earthquake and Volcano Prediction Center
P.O. Box 607147 – Orlando, Fl 32860
(407) 985-3509 – firstname.lastname@example.org
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